HOW IT WORKS

1 · Proprietary player ratings

Every player carries a Rating — a single number capturing current strength. Ratings update after every match: beat a stronger player and your rating climbs more; lose to a weaker one and it falls further. The gap between two players’ ratings maps directly to a win chance.

2 · From rating to match price

The rating gap gives the base win chance. From there we simulate the match — game by game, to the configured best-of — tens of thousands of times. That simulation produces the win chance, the most likely correct scores, the expected total points, and over/under and handicap chances.

3 · Value vs. the market

When live betting prices are available we compare our win chance to what the market implies. Where they disagree meaningfully, we surface a value pick with its expected value. This is a research signal, not a guarantee — nothing reliably beats a sharp closing line.

Win %

Our estimated chance a player wins the match.

Rating

A strength rating updated after every match. Higher is better; the gap between two ratings maps to a win chance.

Expected total

The projected total points scored across the whole match, used to price the over/under.

Correct score

Our estimated chance of each final game score (e.g. 3-1). We show the most likely few.

Handicap -1.5

The chance a player covers a 1.5-game handicap (wins by a margin).

Sweep %

How often a player wins without dropping a game.

Game-1 win %

How often a player takes the opening game — a read on fast starters.

Value / EV

How much more we expect to win than the price pays. An estimate of edge, not a promise.

These are estimates. A "65%" should win about 65 of every 100 times over a large sample — not every time. Use this as one input, manage your bankroll, and bet responsibly. 21+.